France wants Africa to believe that its relationship with the continent is entering a new era of partnership, mutual respect and shared prosperity. President Emmanuel Macron has repeatedly presented himself as a leader interested in rebuilding relations with African countries, opening new opportunities for cooperation and moving beyond the historical baggage of colonialism.

But there is a fundamental contradiction between Paris’s diplomatic language and the realities of its policies. While Macron promises African leaders a renewed partnership, France and some of its European partners are withdrawing financial support from the very development programmes that millions of Africans depend on for survival.

The question is no longer simply whether France wants to remain influential in Africa. It is whether the influence it seeks is genuinely designed to advance African interests or merely to preserve French strategic, economic and geopolitical advantages.

Africa must learn to judge its international partners not by the beauty of their diplomatic speeches but by the consistency of their actions.

The figures emerging from Europe’s development financing decisions are particularly disturbing. A report by the Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal), published in May 2026, estimates that France’s official development assistance will decline by 30 per cent between 2022 and 2026. Britain’s development assistance is projected to fall by 45 per cent between 2020 and 2026, while Germany’s is expected to decline by 37 per cent between 2023 and 2026.

These are not merely accounting adjustments in European government budgets. They represent decisions with potentially devastating consequences for vulnerable populations across Africa and other developing regions.

According to the report, France’s reductions could contribute to approximately 3.5 million additional deaths by 2030, while its 30 per cent reduction in development assistance could translate into more than 447,000 preventable deaths annually. The report also warns that a 60 per cent reduction in France’s contribution to the Global Fund could jeopardise efforts to prevent 710,000 deaths from HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria by 2028.

These projections should force African governments to reconsider the reliability of development partnerships that depend heavily on the political and budgetary priorities of European capitals.

Europe is simultaneously increasing defence expenditure in response to geopolitical tensions while reducing development financing. This raises an uncomfortable question. Why is it easier for wealthy European governments to find additional resources for military expansion than to sustain programmes that protect human lives, strengthen health systems and support development in poorer countries?

Development cooperation is not charity. It is an investment in global stability, public health, economic opportunity and international security. Weakening health systems, education and humanitarian programmes can deepen poverty, increase vulnerability and intensify the conditions that fuel conflict and displacement.

The consequences are particularly troubling for Africa, where international health financing remains critical to the survival of millions. The proposed reductions in medical programme financing, including the reported 46 per cent decline, threaten hard-won progress against preventable diseases. Africa cannot afford to build its public health future on promises that can be abandoned whenever European governments face competing domestic priorities.

There is also a wider geopolitical contradiction. European governments increasingly speak about democracy, human rights, international solidarity and the rules-based international order. Yet those principles become difficult to defend when financial decisions undermine the health, education and livelihoods of vulnerable populations beyond Europe’s borders.

France’s shrinking influence in Africa is not happening in isolation. It is also a consequence of a growing crisis of trust.

Consider what has happened across the Sahel.

Mali provides the first example. After years of French military involvement under Operation Barkhane, relations deteriorated dramatically. In August 2022, the last French soldiers left Mali following the breakdown of military cooperation and mounting disagreements with the authorities. The departure represented a major setback for France’s traditional influence in the country.

Burkina Faso offers a second example. In January 2023, the country’s military authorities demanded the withdrawal of French troops, and France subsequently withdrew approximately 400 special forces personnel. This was another indication that African governments were increasingly questioning the terms and nature of their security relationships with Paris.

Niger presents a third example. Following the July 2023 military takeover and the subsequent collapse of diplomatic and military relations, Macron announced the withdrawal of French troops. By the end of 2023, France had completed its military disengagement from the country.

These three cases demonstrate that France’s traditional model of influence in parts of Africa is facing serious resistance. They also expose the limitations of a foreign policy that sometimes appears to confuse historical relationships with permanent political loyalty.

African governments are increasingly asserting their sovereignty and diversifying their international partnerships. Some are looking towards Russia, China, Turkey and other emerging partners, not necessarily because these countries are without their own strategic interests, but because African governments want alternatives.

That distinction matters. Africa does not need to exchange one form of external dependency for another. It needs partnerships based on mutual respect, transparency, economic benefit and respect for national sovereignty.

There are also persistent allegations in some African political circles that France uses its diplomatic networks, media influence, non-governmental organisations and financial instruments to preserve political leverage over governments that challenge its interests. Accusations of interference, disinformation and support for destabilising activities have featured prominently in political debates, particularly in the Sahel.

Such allegations must be investigated rather than automatically accepted as established facts. However, Paris cannot simply dismiss the growing distrust surrounding its activities. Genuine partnership requires openness, accountability and respect for the political choices of African people.

But perhaps the most revealing contradiction in Macron’s Africa policy is the situation within France itself.

France is facing significant domestic economic and political challenges. Public debt, pressure on public services, the cost of living and political instability have created considerable difficulties for successive governments. The country is also struggling with demands for greater investment in education and social services.

In October 2026, thousands of French students took to the streets in demonstrations that spread across the country. Hundreds of schools were blockaded as young people protested against overcrowded classrooms, deteriorating school infrastructure, teacher shortages and inadequate government investment in education.

The demonstrations also exposed serious concerns about police conduct. Hundreds of young people were arrested, and several teenagers suffered serious injuries during confrontations with security forces. One 14-year-old boy sustained severe injuries to his jaw and mouth in an incident involving police.

The protests were particularly revealing because they exposed the widening gap between France’s international image and the frustrations of its own citizens.

French students were demanding better schools, adequate teachers and decent learning conditions. Yet their government was struggling to respond to these basic demands while European governments were increasing military expenditure.

This raises a legitimate question about priorities. If France is struggling to adequately address the needs of its own citizens, why should African governments unquestioningly accept its promises of transformative leadership and development partnerships?

Of course, France’s domestic difficulties do not automatically invalidate its foreign policy. Every country has economic pressures and competing national priorities. However, they demonstrate that Macron’s administration has its own domestic interests to protect and that Africa should not mistake diplomatic declarations for unconditional commitment.

There is another uncomfortable dimension to this relationship. France has historically enjoyed considerable political, economic, military and cultural influence across its former colonies. That influence was built over generations and cannot be separated from the history of colonial domination.

Even after independence, many African countries continued to operate within economic and political arrangements that preserved significant French influence. The CFA franc monetary arrangements, military cooperation, commercial interests and diplomatic relationships have all featured in longstanding debates about the continent’s economic sovereignty.

The problem is not that France wants to trade with Africa, invest in Africa or maintain diplomatic relations with African governments. Those are legitimate interests. The problem emerges when African sovereignty becomes acceptable only when it aligns with French preferences.

A country cannot preach democracy while treating African governments’ independent political decisions as unacceptable simply because they threaten established strategic interests.

Nor should African leaders be expected to maintain political loyalty to Paris in exchange for development assistance. Development cooperation must never become an instrument for demanding political obedience.

Africa must also stop approaching international partnerships from a position of desperation.

The continent has enormous natural resources, a young population, expanding markets and strategic importance in global trade, energy, agriculture and technology. It should be negotiating partnerships from a position of opportunity rather than dependency.

Uganda, for instance, must evaluate its relationships with France, the European Union, Russia, China, the United States and other international partners based on what each relationship delivers to its people. The same principle should guide the rest of the continent.

African governments must demand technology transfer, local manufacturing, value addition, skills development, infrastructure investment and meaningful access to international markets. They must also strengthen domestic institutions so that essential health and education programmes are not entirely dependent on external financing.

France is entitled to pursue its national interests. Macron is entitled to promote French businesses, diplomatic influence and strategic partnerships. But African countries are equally entitled to protect their sovereignty, diversify their partnerships and reject arrangements that do not serve their national interests.

What Paris must understand is that Africa is no longer prepared to accept the old relationship simply because it has been repackaged in the language of modern diplomacy.

The withdrawal of development financing, the growing tensions over military cooperation and the persistent accusations of political interference all point to a relationship that requires fundamental reconsideration.

Macron may continue to promise Africa a new partnership. But partnerships are not built through speeches, photo opportunities and diplomatic ceremonies. They are built through consistency, respect and tangible benefits.

France cannot preach solidarity while withdrawing the resources that sustain vulnerable communities. It cannot preach sovereignty while resisting the independent choices of African governments. And it cannot expect Africa to remain politically loyal to Paris while treating African interests as secondary to French priorities.

The era in which African leaders were expected to confuse historical ties with permanent loyalty must come to an end.

Africa needs partners, not patrons. It needs cooperation, not political guardianship. Above all, it needs relationships in which African interests matter as much as those of the countries seeking influence on the continent.

The real test of Macron’s Africa policy is not how beautifully he speaks about the continent, but whether France is prepared to respect an Africa that increasingly wants to make its own decisions.

Does France want a prosperous and independent Africa, or an Africa that remains prosperous only on terms acceptable to Paris?

Kungu Al-Mahadi Adam is an experienced Ugandan multimedia Journalist, passionate about current African affairs particularly Horn of Africa. He is currently an Editor and writer with Plus News Uganda and...

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